Origin Agritech Stock Analysis

SEED Stock  USD 1.07  0.00  0.00%   
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Origin Agritech extending back to March 29, 2004. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Origin Agritech stands at 1.07, as last reported on the 16th of February 2026, with the highest price reaching 1.09 and the lowest price hitting 1.02 during the day.
IPO Date
5th of May 2004
200 Day MA
1.2299
50 Day MA
1.256
Beta
1.747
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Origin Agritech has over 54.27 Million in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing. At present, Origin Agritech's Long Term Debt is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Debt To Equity is expected to grow to 0.50, whereas Short and Long Term Debt Total is forecasted to decline to about 46.4 M. Origin Agritech's financial risk is the risk to Origin Agritech stockholders that is caused by an increase in debt.

Asset vs Debt

Equity vs Debt

Origin Agritech's liquidity is one of the most fundamental aspects of both its future profitability and its ability to meet different types of ongoing financial obligations. Origin Agritech's cash, liquid assets, total liabilities, and shareholder equity can be utilized to evaluate how much leverage the Company is using to sustain its current operations. For traders, higher-leverage indicators usually imply a higher risk to shareholders. In addition, it helps Origin Stock's retail investors understand whether an upcoming fall or rise in the market will negatively affect Origin Agritech's stakeholders.
For many companies, including Origin Agritech, marketable securities, inventories, and receivables are the most common assets that could be converted to cash. However, for Origin Agritech, the most critical issue when managing liquidity is ensuring that current assets are properly aligned with current liabilities. If they are not, Origin Agritech's management will need to obtain alternative financing to ensure there are always enough cash equivalents on the balance sheet to meet obligations.
Price Book
4.864
Enterprise Value Ebitda
1.6023
Price Sales
0.1408
Shares Float
7.1 M
Wall Street Target Price
5
Given that Origin Agritech's debt-to-equity ratio measures a Company's obligations relative to the value of its net assets, it is usually used by traders to estimate the extent to which Origin Agritech is acquiring new debt as a mechanism of leveraging its assets. A high debt-to-equity ratio is generally associated with increased risk, implying that it has been aggressive in financing its growth with debt. Another way to look at debt-to-equity ratios is to compare the overall debt load of Origin Agritech to its assets or equity, showing how much of the company assets belong to shareholders vs. creditors. If shareholders own more assets, Origin Agritech is said to be less leveraged. If creditors hold a majority of Origin Agritech's assets, the Company is said to be highly leveraged.
At present, Origin Agritech's Stock Based Compensation is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Sale Purchase Of Stock is expected to grow to about 50.7 M, whereas Liabilities And Stockholders Equity is forecasted to decline to about 86.1 M. . As of February 16, 2026, Price To Sales Ratio is expected to decline to 2.23. In addition to that, Price Earnings Ratio is expected to decline to -196.19.
Origin Agritech is overvalued with Real Value of 1.02 and Hype Value of 1.07. The main objective of Origin Agritech stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Origin Agritech is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Origin Agritech's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Origin Agritech stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Origin Agritech's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Origin Agritech. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in discontinued.
For information on how to trade Origin Stock refer to our How to Trade Origin Stock guide.

Origin Stock Analysis Notes

About 54.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.03. Origin Agritech last dividend was issued on the 10th of July 2018. The entity had 1:10 split on the 10th of July 2018. Origin Agritech Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates an agricultural biotechnology and an e-commerce platform in the Peoples Republic of China. Origin Agritech Limited was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Beijing, China. Origin Agritech operates under Agricultural Inputs classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 54 people. To find out more about Origin Agritech contact Gengchen Han at 86 10 8958 6206 or learn more at https://originagritech.com.

Origin Agritech Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Origin Agritech's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Origin Agritech or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Origin Agritech generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Origin Agritech has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Origin Agritech has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Origin Agritech has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Origin Agritech has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Origin Agritech currently holds 54.27 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 180.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Origin Agritech has a current ratio of 0.13, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Origin Agritech's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 90.12 M. Net Loss for the year was (52.64 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.39 M.
Origin Agritech currently holds about 6.51 M in cash with (22.57 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.13, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Origin Agritech has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 54.0% of Origin Agritech outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from eu-startups.com: London-based Stanhope AI raises 6.7 million for adaptive AI in robotics and defence applications

Origin Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Origin Agritech's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2010-02-02
2009-12-31-0.8-0.9-0.112 
2011-02-22
2010-12-31-1.2-1.4-0.216 
2010-05-11
2010-03-31-2.15-1.80.3516 
View All Earnings Estimates

Origin Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Legacy Advisors, Llc2025-06-30
0.0
Two Sigma Securities, Llc2025-06-30
0.0
Intrepid Capital Management Inc2025-06-30
100 K
First Wilshire Securities Mgmt Inc (ca)2025-06-30
19.5 K
Oppenheimer & Co Inc2025-06-30
15 K
Ubs Group Ag2025-06-30
4.3 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2025-06-30
K
Advisor Group Holdings, Inc.2025-06-30
250
Group One Trading, Lp2025-06-30
100.0
Bank Of America Corp2025-06-30
55.0
Sbi Securities Co Ltd2025-06-30
2.0
Note, although Origin Agritech's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Origin Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Micro-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 12.86 M.

Origin Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.58) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (1.54) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of $1.54.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.04)(0.04)
Return On Capital Employed(0.04)(0.04)
Return On Assets(0.03)(0.03)
Return On Equity(0.04)(0.04)

Management Efficiency

Origin Agritech has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.2896) % which means that it has lost $0.2896 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (3.7199) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Origin Agritech's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Origin Agritech manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of February 16, 2026, Return On Tangible Assets is expected to decline to -0.04. The current year's Return On Capital Employed is expected to grow to -0.04. The current year's Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 0.53, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 86.1 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 136.55  85.33 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 115.15  66.00 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(158.84)(166.78)
Price Book Value Ratio 7.56  7.18 
Enterprise Value Multiple(158.84)(166.78)
Price Fair Value 7.56  7.18 
Enterprise Value118.3 M112.4 M
Origin Agritech benefits from a proactive management team that anticipates market trends. Our analysis delves into how this proactive stance influences financial metrics and stock valuation.
Operating Margin
(1.54)
Profit Margin
(0.58)
Beta
1.747
Return On Assets
(0.29)
Return On Equity
(3.72)

Technical Drivers

As of the 16th of February 2026, Origin Agritech holds the Coefficient Of Variation of (1,512), risk adjusted performance of (0.05), and Variance of 23.07. Compared to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model allows you to check existing technical drivers of Origin Agritech, as well as the relationship between them. Please check Origin Agritech variance, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the Maximum Drawdown and skewness to decide if Origin Agritech is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its current price of 1.07 per share. Given that Origin Agritech is a hitting penny stock territory we advise to closely look at its jensen alpha.

Origin Agritech Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
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Origin Agritech Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Origin Agritech insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Origin Agritech's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Origin Agritech insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Origin Agritech Outstanding Bonds

Origin Agritech issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Origin Agritech uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Origin bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Origin Agritech has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Origin Agritech Predictive Daily Indicators

Origin Agritech intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Origin Agritech stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Origin Agritech Forecast Models

Origin Agritech's time-series forecasting models are one of many Origin Agritech's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Origin Agritech's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Origin Agritech Bond Ratings

Origin Agritech financial ratings play a critical role in determining how much Origin Agritech have to pay to access credit markets, i.e., the amount of interest on their issued debt. The threshold between investment-grade and speculative-grade ratings has important market implications for Origin Agritech's borrowing costs.
Piotroski F Score
2
FrailView
Beneish M Score
(2.84)
Unlikely ManipulatorView

Origin Agritech Debt to Cash Allocation

Many companies such as Origin Agritech, eventually find out that there is only so much market out there to be conquered, and adding the next product or service is only half as profitable per unit as their current endeavors. Eventually, the company will reach a point where cash flows are strong, and extra cash is available but not fully utilized. In this case, the company may start buying back its stock from the public or issue more dividends.
Origin Agritech currently holds 54.27 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 180.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Origin Agritech has a current ratio of 0.13, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Origin Agritech's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.

Origin Agritech Total Assets Over Time

Origin Agritech Assets Financed by Debt

The debt-to-assets ratio shows the degree to which Origin Agritech uses debt to finance its assets. It includes both long-term and short-term borrowings maturing within one year. It also includes both tangible and intangible assets, such as goodwill.

Origin Agritech Debt Ratio

    
  28.0   
It looks as if most of the Origin Agritech's assets are financed through equity. Typically, companies with high debt-to-asset ratios are said to be highly leveraged. The higher the ratio, the greater risk will be associated with the Origin Agritech's operation. In addition, a high debt-to-assets ratio may indicate a low borrowing capacity of Origin Agritech, which in turn will lower the firm's financial flexibility.

Origin Agritech Corporate Bonds Issued

Most Origin bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Origin Agritech has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Origin Net Debt

Net Debt

59.65 Million

At present, Origin Agritech's Net Debt is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting.

About Origin Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Origin Agritech prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Origin shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Origin Agritech. By using and applying Origin Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Origin entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.31  0.33 
Operating Profit Margin 0.32  0.33 
Net Profit Margin 0.27  0.28 
Gross Profit Margin 0.53  0.29 

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As an investor, your ultimate goal is to build wealth. Optimizing your investment portfolio is an essential element in this goal. Using our stock analysis tools, you can find out how much better you can do when adding Origin Agritech to your portfolios without increasing risk or reducing expected return.

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